Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 11?
Closed April 11, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -5.9pp below current market price; market at 50% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -1.9% ↓, ETH -3.0% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$104K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 11?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $104K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1862489
This event has 14 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 11: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 11: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 11: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 11?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: -42.1pp
50% → 7%
Apr 5, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this