ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5
Share on X

Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5

Closed April 5, 2026

Polymarket Price

62%YES
38%NO

Volume 24h

$246K

Liquidity

$11K

Bid / Ask

50% / 51%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

62%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5" at 62% YES / 38% NO. In the last 24 hours, $246K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 62%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 62%, NO 38%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1866518

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline: 78%, Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5: 77%, Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5: 67%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Apr 5, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Apr 5, 2026

Current

51% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 5, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 62%99%
Buy YES@ 62¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 38¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this