ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5
Share on X

76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5

Closed April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

44%YES
56%NO

Volume 24h

$32K

Liquidity

$10K

Bid / Ask

44% / 47%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

44%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5" at 44% YES / 56% NO. In the last 24 hours, $32K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 44%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 44%, NO 56%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1884648

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. 76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5: 47%, 76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5: 44%, 76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5: 44%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-3.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

53% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Apr 7, 2026

Biggest move: -6.0pp

56% → 50%

Apr 7, 2026

Current

50% YES (-6.0pp recent)

Apr 7, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 44%99%
Buy YES@ 44¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 56¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this