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Markets/Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 April 6-12?
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Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 April 6-12?

Closes April 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$55K

Liquidity

$0

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence50%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 April 6-12?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $55K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 April 6-12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1886001

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+51.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Trough probability

28% YES — lowest in period

Apr 7, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

60%

Apr 6, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

59%

Apr 7, 2026

Biggest move: +29.0pp

59% → 88%

Apr 7, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Apr 8, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 8, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this