Nuggets vs. Spurs
Closes April 13, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.0M
Liquidity
$463K
Bid / Ask
18% / 19%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
19%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Nuggets vs. Spurs" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.0M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Nuggets vs. Spurs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1891045
This event has 7 active outcome markets. Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5: 51%, Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5: 48%, Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5: 46%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
19% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
19% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this