ForecastMind
Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 13?
Share on X

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 13?

Closes April 13, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
32%FIS
+1ppvs market 32%
underpriced

ForecastMind sees this +0.6pp above current market price; market at 32% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.3% ↑, ETH -0.1% ↓, S&P +0.1% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC +0.3% ↑, ETH -0.1% ↓, S&P +0.1% ↑
+0.6pp
Live compute12:02 PM

Polymarket Price

32%YES
69%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

25% / 28%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

32%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 13?" at 32% YES / 68% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 32%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 13?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 32%, NO 68%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1891968

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 68%, price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30: 32%, price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,10: 1%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-19.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

46% YES

Apr 13, 2026

Biggest move: -13.5pp

49% → 35%

Apr 13, 2026

Current

26% YES (-6.5pp recent)

Apr 13, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 32%99%
Buy YES@ 32¢
Edge

+1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 69¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this