ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
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LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Closed April 12, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$1.2M

Liquidity

$356K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 12, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1893965

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Re: 100%, LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LE: 0%.

LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seas

100%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+48.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Biggest move: +45.5pp

55% → 100%

Apr 12, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Apr 12, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 12, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this