ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 14?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 14?

Closed April 14, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
49%FIS
2ppvs market 50%
overpriced

ForecastMind sees this -1.5pp below current market price; market at 50% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.3% ↓, ETH -2.1% ↓, S&P +1.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC -0.3% ↓, ETH -2.1% ↓, S&P +1.2% ↑
-1.5pp
Live compute09:07 PM

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$22K

Liquidity

$0

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 14?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 14, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 14?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1908729

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,40: 100%, price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 0%, price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,10: 0%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-5.1pp

Key Moments

First recorded

5% YES

Apr 14, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 14, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this