Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 14?
Closed April 14, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.6pp below current market price; market at 50% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.4% ↓, ETH -2.4% ↓, S&P +1.1% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$13K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 14?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 14?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1908733
This event has 2 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on A: 0%, price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,50: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~100%.
price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
24% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 14, 2026
Biggest move: -35.7pp
38% → 3%
Apr 14, 2026
Peak probability
38% YES — highest in period
Apr 14, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this