San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds
Closes April 21, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$277K
Liquidity
$55K
Bid / Ask
27% / 28%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
21%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds" at 21% YES / 79% NO. In the last 24 hours, $277K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 21%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 21, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds." Prediction market snapshot: YES 21%, NO 79%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1918056
This event has 4 active outcome markets. San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U: 22%, San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: 21%, San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U: 16%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~31%.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Biggest move: -20.0pp
48% → 28%
Apr 15, 2026
Current
28% YES (-20.0pp recent)
Apr 15, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this