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Markets/Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5
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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Closes April 16, 2026

Polymarket Price

50%YES
50%NO

Volume 24h

$8K

Liquidity

$0

Expert Signal

50%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The market closes on April 16, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1920079

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliass: 100%, Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Casper Ruud: Total : 50%.

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2

50%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+5.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

44% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

54%

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: +9.5pp

44% → 54%

Apr 9, 2026

Peak probability

54% YES — highest in period

Apr 9, 2026

Current

50% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 50%99%
Buy YES@ 50¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 50¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this