ForecastMind
Markets/Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
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Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)

Closes April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

36%YES
65%NO

Volume 24h

$9K

Liquidity

$29K

Bid / Ask

31% / 44%

Spread

13.00pp

Expert Signal

22%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)" at 36% YES / 64% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 22%. The bid-ask spread is 13.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 36%, NO 64%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1920698

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5): 100%, Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5): 36%, Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5: 0%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.5pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 36%99%
Buy YES@ 36¢
Edge

+1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 65¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this