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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
Share on X

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

Closed April 10, 2026

Polymarket Price

46%YES
55%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$258K

Bid / Ask

45% / 46%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

46%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Knicks (-7.5)" at 46% YES / 54% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Spread: Knicks (-7.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 46%, NO 54%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1935095

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Spread: Knicks (-5.5): 53%, 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5): 52%, Spread: Knicks (-6.5): 49%.

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
53%
1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
52%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
49%

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

46%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+10.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

45% YES

Apr 10, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

55%

Apr 11, 2026

Biggest move: +9.0pp

46% → 55%

Apr 11, 2026

Current

55% YES (+9.0pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 46%99%
Buy YES@ 46¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 54¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this