Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5
Closed April 11, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +1.0pp above current market price; market at 50% may be underpriced with macro signals showing S&P -0.2% ↓, VIX -1.3% ↓, 10Y yield +6bps ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$25K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $25K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1939667
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Magic vs. Bulls: 100%, Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5: 0%, Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5: 0%.
Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
55% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 11, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
33%
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: -26.5pp
33% → 7%
Apr 11, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this