Busan: Yi Zhou vs Pavel Kotov
Closes April 20, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2.2M
Liquidity
$246K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Busan: Yi Zhou vs Pavel Kotov" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 20, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Busan: Yi Zhou vs Pavel Kotov." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1947868
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Zhou vs. Kotov: Match O/U 21.5: 50%, Zhou vs. Kotov: Match O/U 22.5: 50%, Busan: Yi Zhou vs Pavel Kotov: 0%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
39% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 14, 2026
Biggest move: -27.5pp
37% → 9%
Apr 14, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this