Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)
Closed April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$45K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Pistons (-12.5)" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $45K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Spread: Pistons (-12.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1948034
This event has 16 active outcome markets. Spread: Pistons (-11.5): 100%, 1H Spread: Pistons (-7.5): 100%, 1H Spread: Pistons (-8.5): 100%.
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
63% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
0%
Apr 13, 2026
Biggest move: -87.0pp
87% → 0%
Apr 13, 2026
Peak probability
87% YES — highest in period
Apr 13, 2026
Current
0% YES (-87.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this