Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
1H Spread: Hornets (-7.5)
Closed April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$21K
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
53% / 57%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
55%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "1H Spread: Hornets (-7.5)" at 55% YES / 45% NO. In the last 24 hours, $21K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "1H Spread: Hornets (-7.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 55%, NO 45%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1954732
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Spread: Hornets (-7.5): 72%, Spread: Hornets (-8.5): 69%, Spread: Hornets (-10.5): 63%.
1H Spread: Hornets (-7.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
55% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
55% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this