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Markets/Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Closes April 13, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
40%FIS
−2ppvs market 43%
overpriced

ForecastMind sees this -2.1pp below current market price; market at 42% may be overpriced with macro signals showing EUR/USD -0.222 ↓, VIX -1.3% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroEUR/USD -0.222 ↓, VIX -1.3% ↓
-2.1pp
Live compute09:08 PM

Polymarket Price

43%YES
57%NO

Volume 24h

$264K

Liquidity

$40K

Bid / Ask

37% / 38%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

43%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs" at 43% YES / 57% NO. In the last 24 hours, $264K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 43%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 43%, NO 57%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1957893

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-13.5pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 43%99%
Buy YES@ 43¢
Edge

+1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 57¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this