Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 5 active outcome markets. May 31, 2026: 85%, April 30, 2026: 63%, April 23, 2026: 45%.
Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade o
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?" at 63% YES / 37% NO. In the last 24 hours, $59K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 62%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 63%, NO 37%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1961415