ForecastMind
Markets/Trail Blazers vs. Suns
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Trail Blazers vs. Suns

Closes April 15, 2026

Polymarket Price

41%YES
60%NO

Volume 24h

$200K

Liquidity

$1.8M

Bid / Ask

40% / 41%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

41%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Trail Blazers vs. Suns" at 41% YES / 59% NO. In the last 24 hours, $200K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 15, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Trail Blazers vs. Suns." Prediction market snapshot: YES 41%, NO 59%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1969212

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5: 51%, Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 217.5: 48%, Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5: 45%.

Topic Intelligence

Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarket41%anchor
kalshi_sports

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 41%99%
Buy YES@ 41¢
Edge

+1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 60¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this