ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
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Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5

Closed April 14, 2026

Polymarket Price

80%YES
20%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

79% / 96%

Spread

17.00pp

Expert Signal

80%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5" at 80% YES / 20% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 80%. The bid-ask spread is 17.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 80%, NO 20%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1972305

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8: 80%, Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9: 60%, Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 47%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+24.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

64% YES

Apr 14, 2026

Trough probability

58% YES — lowest in period

Apr 14, 2026

Biggest move: +29.5pp

58% → 88%

Apr 15, 2026

Current

88% YES (+29.5pp recent)

Apr 15, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 80%99%
Buy YES@ 80¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 20¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this