Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?
Closes July 16, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$8K
Liquidity
$1K
Bid / Ask
18% / 36%
Spread
18.00pp
Expert Signal
34%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?" at 34% YES / 66% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 34%. The bid-ask spread is 18.00 percentage points. The market closes on July 16, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 34%, NO 66%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1972628
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Bank of Korea increase the base rate after th: 44%, Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after th: 34%, Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate: 30%.
Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Mee
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
47% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Trough probability
14% YES — lowest in period
Apr 14, 2026
Biggest move: -29.0pp
50% → 21%
Apr 14, 2026
Current
32% YES (-5.5pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this