Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5
Closes April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$18K
Liquidity
$53K
Bid / Ask
46% / 47%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
47%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 47%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1980076
This event has 7 active outcome markets. Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5: 52%, Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5: 51%, Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5: 49%.
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
47%
Apr 14, 2026
Current
47% YES (-5.0pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this