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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 23?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 23?

ForecastMind estimates 23% — market may be underpriced by 3pp vs our model · Macro fundamentals: +2.6pp

Market Price

21%YES

FM Estimate

23%3pp
NO79%
Vol 24h$13K
Liquidity$27K
Bid / Ask19% / 21%
Spread2.00pp
ClosesApr 23, 2026
Macro fundamentals+2.6pp

low confidence · 1 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
+10.0pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 23?" at 21% YES / 79% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on April 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 23?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 21%, NO 79%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1999976