ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5)
Share on X

1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5)

Closed March 20, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$10K

Liquidity

$31K

Expert Signal

1%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: Knicks (-17.5)

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-50.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Mar 20, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Mar 21, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

26%

Mar 21, 2026

Biggest move: -27.5pp

53% → 26%

Mar 21, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5)" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 1%. The market closes on March 20, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1658866