Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)
Closed April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$222K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1799721
This event has 4 active outcome markets. 1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5): 100%, Spread: Lakers (-2.5): 100%, Spread: Lakers (-1.5): 100%.
1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
53% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Trough probability
26% YES — lowest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
26%
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: +74.0pp
26% → 100%
Apr 1, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this