Markets/Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets

Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets

Market Price

100%YES

0%NO

Vol 24h$338K

Liquidity$584K

Bid / Ask100% / —

ClosesMay 3, 2026

✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets12 markets

12 deadline markets. Combined YES = 255% — 155pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets

100%

Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets

81%

Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

25%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

No historical data yet

Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues

VenueProb.YES %vs Poly

Polymarket

100%anchor

kalshi_sports

——

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $338K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on May 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-27). "Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2033066