Markets/LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

Market Price

100%YES

0%NO

Vol 24h$76K

Liquidity$167K

Bid / Ask100% / —

ClosesApr 23, 2026

✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World : 100%, LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports Wo: 0%.

LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North

100%

LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup No

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $76K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-23). "LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2050185