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This market has resolved. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?
Market Price
Price History · 30 days
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This market is critical as the YES outcome has reached 100%, indicating strong collective conviction that Bitcoin will trade above $76,000 on May 2, a significant upward revision from its 63% position seven days prior. This surge in conviction suggests a reassessment of near-term price dynamics by market participants.
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
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27 deadline markets. Combined YES = 1347% — 1247pp excess suggests collective overpricing.
price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?
price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $239K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on May 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-02). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2078309