LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

Market Price

100%YES

0%NO

Vol 24h$762K

Liquidity$0

ClosedMay 1, 2026

Game Summary

Outcome

YES

Market resolved

Price swing

54pp

High–low range

Volume traded

$762K

24h total

Probability During Game · 30 days

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Price History

+50.0pp

✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets3 markets

3 deadline markets. Combined YES = 200% — 100pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winne

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

100%

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Ro

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-

100%

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winne

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

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Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $762K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on May 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-01). "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2084159