Markets/New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels

New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels

Market Price

0%YES

100%NO

Vol 24h$895K

Liquidity$0

ClosesMay 10, 2026

Why this mattersAI-synthesized

The New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels prediction market is showing 0% probability, a significant drop of 38 percentage points this week, suggesting a near-universal expectation that the event will not occur. This dramatic shift indicates traders are collectively betting against the scheduled matchup, a sentiment not directly explained by current broad market indicators like S&P 500 futures. The market intelligence points to a high probability of cancellation or postponement.

Momentum"New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels" moved down 38pp this week

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The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate

-38.4pp

Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues

VenueProb.YES %vs Poly

Polymarket

50%anchor

kalshi_sports

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Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $895K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on May 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-03). "New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2085861