76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 203.5

Market Price

66%YES

34%NO

Vol 24h$36K

Liquidity$10K

Bid / Ask100% / —

ClosedMay 2, 2026

Game Summary

Outcome

YES

Market resolved

Peak probability

99%

Highest YES during game

Price swing

46pp

High–low range

Volume traded

$36K

24h total

Liquidity

$10K

Market depth

Probability During Game · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate

+45.9pp

Why this matters

✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets11 markets

11 deadline markets. Combined YES = 665% — 565pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

76ers vs. Celtics

100%

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5

100%

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 203.5

66%

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 203.5" at 66% YES / 34% NO. In the last 24 hours, $36K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on May 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-03). "76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 203.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 66%, NO 34%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2143151