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Markets/Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
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Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Closes July 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

4%YES
96%NO

Volume 24h

$68K

Liquidity

$264K

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-4.7pp

Key Moments

First recorded

8% YES

Feb 21, 2026

Trough probability

2% YES — lowest in period

Mar 20, 2026

Current

4% YES (+0.4pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 4%99%
Buy YES@ 4¢
Edge

+9.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.4%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO@ 96¢

-0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+9.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $68K has been traded. The market closes on July 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/553871