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Markets/Xi Jinping out before 2027?
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Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

9%YES
91%NO

Volume 24h

$18K

Liquidity

$186K

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

2027

Full event →
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
9%
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
3%
the next leader out before 2027?
1%

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 9%99%
Buy YES@ 9¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.1%
½ Kelly0.0%
Buy NO@ 91¢

-0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Xi Jinping out before 2027?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Xi Jinping out before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/559651

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Venue Divergence

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Correlated Markets

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