Markets/Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 02:35 PM UTC

Closes June 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

12%YES

88%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$90K

Bid / Ask

11% / 13%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

12%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-6.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

22% YES

Mar 2, 2026

Trough probability

14% YES — lowest in period

Mar 10, 2026

Current

16% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 17, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 12%99%

Buy YES@ 12¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 88¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/564198