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Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?

Closes June 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

8%YES
92%NO

Volume 24h

$322K

Liquidity

$16K

Bid / Ask

8% / 8%

Spread

0.60pp

Expert Signal

8%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?

Full event →

8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

8% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Current

8% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 8%99%
Buy YES@ 8¢

-1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 92¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.2%
½ Kelly0.6%
Buy NO+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $322K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/629109