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Markets/Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
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Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

77%YES
23%NO
Vol 24h$777
Liquidity$12K
Bid / Ask75% / 78%
Spread3.00pp

FM Estimate

74%

Market Price

77%
↑ Overpriced 2.9pp
Macro fundamentals-5.4pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Republicans: 84%, the Republicans: 77%, the Democrats: 24%.

Republicans win the Senate race in South Carolina?
84%

Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

77%
Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
24%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

No historical data yet
Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarket77%anchor
Kalshi81%+4.5pp
Weighted Consensus81%±4.5pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?" at 77% YES / 23% NO. In the last 24 hours, $777 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 77%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-17). "Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 77%, NO 23%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/630925