Markets/Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 10:14 AM UTC

Closes June 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES

99%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$42K

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 1%99%

Buy YES@ 1¢

-28.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly28.6%

½ Kelly14.3%

Buy NO—+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 28.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 1%. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/631186

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