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Markets/Will UCLA win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
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Will UCLA win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Closes April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$92K

Liquidity

$71K

Bid / Ask

1% / 1%

Spread

0.20pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

0% YES

Mar 9, 2026

Current

1% YES (-0.5pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will UCLA win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $92K has been traded. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will UCLA win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/658932