Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$162
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
14% / 17%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
16%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $162 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/665470
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 20: 38%, Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before : 20%, Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?: 19%.
Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this