ForecastMind
Markets/StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
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StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Closes January 1, 2027

Polymarket Price

14%YES
87%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$26K

Bid / Ask

13% / 14%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

14%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/676517

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 14%99%
Buy YES@ 14¢
Edge

+3.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 87¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+3.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this