ForecastMind
Markets/Cerebras IPO before 2027?
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Cerebras IPO before 2027?

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

93%YES
7%NO

Volume 24h

$239

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

93% / 93%

Spread

0.10pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+7.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

86% YES

Feb 28, 2026

Biggest move: +7.5pp

86% → 94%

Mar 11, 2026

Peak probability

98% YES — highest in period

Mar 18, 2026

Current

93% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 20, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 93%99%
Buy YES@ 93¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 7¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Cerebras IPO before 2027?" at 93% YES / 7% NO. In the last 24 hours, $239 has been traded. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Cerebras IPO before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 93%, NO 7%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/676780