Markets/Remote IPO before 2027?

Remote IPO before 2027?

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 07:32 PM UTC

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

64%YES

36%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

59% / 68%

Spread

9.00pp

Expert Signal

64%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+46.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

17% YES

Feb 22, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

68%

Mar 17, 2026

Biggest move: +51.5pp

17% → 68%

Mar 17, 2026

Peak probability

68% YES — highest in period

Mar 17, 2026

Current

63% YES (+1.5pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 64%99%

Buy YES@ 64¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 36¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Remote IPO before 2027?" at 64% YES / 36% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 64%. The bid-ask spread is 9.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Remote IPO before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 64%, NO 36%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/676789