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Markets/Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?
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Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

17%YES
84%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$6K

Bid / Ask

10% / 23%

Spread

13.00pp

Expert Signal

17%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?" at 17% YES / 83% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 17%. The bid-ask spread is 13.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 17%, NO 83%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/692270

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 17%99%
Buy YES@ 17¢
Edge

+3.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 84¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+3.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this