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Markets/Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?
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Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?

Closes December 31, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 2 signals
10%FIS
+1ppvs market 9%
underpriced

ForecastMind sees this +0.9pp above current market price; market at 9% may be underpriced with macro signals showing VIX +2.0% ↑, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroVIX +2.0% ↑, S&P -0.2% ↓
+3.4pp
HistoryUSA very_negative CVL → -1.0pp avg (n=74) [recent event]
-1.0pp
Live compute08:54 AM

Polymarket Price

9%YES
91%NO

Volume 24h

$28

Liquidity

$11K

Bid / Ask

8% / 10%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

9%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $28 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 9%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/692310

Topic Intelligence

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 9%99%
Buy YES@ 9¢

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EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 91¢

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Backtest Strategy

50%

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