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Markets/Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
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Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?

Closes December 31, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 2 signals
29%FIS
−1ppvs market 30%
overpriced

ForecastMind sees this -0.8pp below current market price; market at 30% may be overpriced driven by USA very_negative CVL → -1.0pp avg (n=74) (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

HistoryUSA very_negative CVL → -1.0pp avg (n=74) [recent event]
-1.0pp
MacroVIX -0.3% ↓, DXY -0.1% ↓
-0.5pp
Live compute10:18 AM

Polymarket Price

30%YES
70%NO

Volume 24h

$9K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

24% / 34%

Spread

10.00pp

Expert Signal

30%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?" at 30% YES / 70% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 30%. The bid-ask spread is 10.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 30%, NO 70%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/692325

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 30%99%
Buy YES@ 30¢

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Buy NO@ 70¢

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Backtest Strategy

50%

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