Markets/Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 07:46 AM UTC

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

49%YES

51%NO

Volume 24h

$48

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

48% / 50%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

49%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+11.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

38% YES

Feb 28, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Mar 1, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Mar 2, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Mar 12, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Mar 18, 2026

Biggest move: -10.5pp

51% → 40%

Mar 2, 2026

Peak probability

52% YES — highest in period

Mar 1, 2026

Current

50% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Mar 19, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 49%99%

Buy YES@ 49¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 51¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?" at 49% YES / 51% NO. In the last 24 hours, $48 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 49%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 49%, NO 51%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/694941