ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/76ers vs. Rockets
Share on X

76ers vs. Rockets

Closed April 10, 2026

Polymarket Price

31%YES
70%NO

Volume 24h

$926K

Liquidity

$583K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "76ers vs. Rockets" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $926K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "76ers vs. Rockets." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1845083

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. 76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5: 52%, 76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5: 50%, 76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5: 48%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-18.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

19% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Apr 10, 2026

Biggest move: -30.4pp

31% → 0%

Apr 10, 2026

Peak probability

45% YES — highest in period

Apr 8, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 10, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 31%99%
Buy YES@ 31¢
Edge

+1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 70¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this