ForecastMind
Markets/76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5
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76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5

Closes April 10, 2026

Polymarket Price

49%YES
52%NO

Volume 24h

$67K

Liquidity

$148K

Bid / Ask

48% / 49%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

49%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5" at 49% YES / 51% NO. In the last 24 hours, $67K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 49%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 49%, NO 51%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1923847

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. 76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5: 52%, 76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5: 49%, 76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5: 47%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-3.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

49% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 49%99%
Buy YES@ 49¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 52¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this