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Markets/Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
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Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?

32%YES
68%NO
Vol 24h$146
Liquidity$10K
Bid / Ask21% / 34%
Spread13.00pp
ClosesMay 19, 2026

FM Estimate

32%

Market Price

32%
↓ Underpriced 0.8pp
Macro fundamentals+3.1pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Christine Drazan: 55%, Ed Diehl: 32%, Chris Dudley: 14%.

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

No historical data yet
Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarket32%anchor
PredictIt

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?" at 32% YES / 68% NO. In the last 24 hours, $146 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 30%. The bid-ask spread is 13.00pp. The market closes on May 19, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-21). "Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 32%, NO 68%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/825537